The May Issue of the ETF Investor Guide is AVAILABLE NOW! Links to the May Data Files have been posted below. Market Perspective: Value Sectors Continue to Rally Inflation levels that […]

The May Issue of the ETF Investor Guide is AVAILABLE NOW! Links to the May Data Files have been posted below. Market Perspective: Value Sectors Continue to Rally Inflation levels that […]
Equities rallied strongly on Monday as inflation fears eased. The Nasdaq gained 1.41 percent, the S&P 500 Index 0.99 percent, the Dow Jones Industrial Average 0.54 percent and the Russell 2000 Index 0.54 percent.
Technology stocks led the way on Monday, with SPDR Technology (XLK) rising 1.78 percent. In addition, Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) shares gained 2.29 percent on the day, Facebook (FB) shares 2.66 percent and Amazon (AMZN) shares 1.31 percent as well on Monday. Alphabet Inc. (GOOG), Google’s parent company, likewise rose 2.63 percent on the day, while Netflix (NFLX) shares also increased on Monday with a gain of 1.01 percent. Tesla (TSLA) popped 4.40 percent.
Communications was another top-performing sector on Monday, with SPDR Communications (XLC) up 1.82 percent for the day. SPDR Real Estate (XLRE) gained 1.09 percent.
Consumer confidence surveys for May are out this week, the Conference Board on Tuesday and University of Michigan on Friday. The UofM advance survey recorded a drop in confidence this month based on inflation fears. Forecasters predict the Conference Board number will dip from April, but that the UofM survey will bounce back from its advance reading.
New home sales are out on Tuesday. A dip in the sales pace is expected, to a still robust 975,000, as builders advise buyers to wait for lower lumber prices.
Later this week, April data for the personal consumption expenditures index (PCE) is due out Friday and is forecasted to post an increase of 3.5 percent for last month over the year. This would mark the largest rise since 2008. The core PCE, which excludes food and energy prices and is the Fed-favored inflationary gage, is similarly expected to show a rise of 2.9 percent for the same period, which would mean the biggest increase in more than 20 years.
Initial claims for unemployment should have dropped below 450,000 last week with many states fully reopened.
GDP growth in the first quarter will likely be revised slightly higher to 6.5 percent, up from the initial 6.4 percent estimate.
Although inflation fears dipped on Monday, crude oil jumped to $66 per barrel. Natural gas fell to $2.96 per mmBTU. SPDR Energy (XLE) gained 1.00 percent on the day.
The U.S. Dollar Index dipped to the 89.84 level. It has touched 89.75 each of the past 5 days, but has yet to break lower. iShares MSCI EAFE (EA) gained 0.61 percent on Monday and iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM) 0.83 percent.
Crypto-assets, including Bitcoin, recovered on Monday from a volatile trading weekend, which was likely fueled by investors’ concerns of increased regulations on the horizon based on threats from the Chinese government. Over the weekend, Bitcoin dipped to trade around the $32,000 mark, which is about a 50 percent drop from last month’s record-highs. It traded at a peak $39,740.38 on Monday for an increase of over 14 percent.
Gold futures (GC=F) increased 0.26 percent to $1,881.60 per ounce on Monday. Silver futures (SI=F) were also up by 1.48 percent on Monday at $27.88 per ounce.
A rebound in technology shares helped lift the indexes. The Nasdaq gained 0.31 percent for the week, while the S&P 500 index and Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.43 percent and 0.50 percent, respectively.
SPDR Real Estate (XLRE) gained 0.94 percent for the week, SPDR Healthcare (XLV) 0.70 percent, SPDR Utilities (XLU) 0.40 percent and SPDR Technology (XLK) 0.14 percent.
The National Association of Homebuilders’ confidence index showed homebuilders were as optimistic in May as in June. Lower interest rates helped as did the possible bursting of the lumber bubble. Lumber futures closed at an all-time high of $1,686 in early May, but fell to $1,264 on Tuesday before rebounding.
Building permits were steady an at annualized pace of 1.76 million in April, but housing starts fell to a 1.57 million annualized pace as homebuilders advise buyers to wait for cheaper lumber. Existing home sales fell to an annualized pace of 5.85 million as soaring home prices push buyers to the sidelines.
The minutes of the last Federal Reserve meeting show some officials are worried about high inflation. Some want to start talking about tightening policy with the lockdowns ending. This news took stocks to their low for the week. Fed Chairman Powell has made clear, however, that he doesn’t support tightening until employment fully recovers.
Crude oil fell to $61.94 per barrel this week, but natural gas climbed to $2.99 per mmBTU after hitting a 3-month high at $3.10 midweek. SPDR Energy (XLE) slipped 2.49 percent on the week.
The U.S. Dollar Index edged lower by 0.38 percent this week. iShares MSCI EAFE (EFA) gained 0.63 percent and iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM) 0.32 percent. China said it would launch a crackdown on Bitcoin mining and trading this week, triggering a loss of more than $10,000 and contributing to equity weakness. It’s unknown if China will follow through on its threat.
Bond yields fell this week. The 10-year Treasury yield closed at 1.623 percent. iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond (LQD) returned 0.11 percent. Rising credit risk pulled iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond (HYG) by 0.09 percent.
Earnings season is wrapping up. After this week’s strong results, the S&P 500 Index earnings in first quarter are up 51.9 percent year-on-year, with only 5 percent of the index left to report.
Click Here to view today’s Global Momentum Guide WEEKLY SECTOR MOVERS The MSCI EAFE gained 0.98 percent last week and the Nasdaq 0.31 percent. The Russell 2000 Index fell […]
The Investor Guide to Vanguard Funds for May is AVAILABLE NOW! Links to the May data files are posted below. Market Perspective: Be Mindful of Increased Inflation Value stocks reemerged as […]