The Investor Guide to Vanguard Funds for June is AVAILABLE NOW! Links to the June data files are posted below. Market Perspective: Stocks Rebound as Tariff Worries Subside Equities have […]

The Investor Guide to Vanguard Funds for June is AVAILABLE NOW! Links to the June data files are posted below. Market Perspective: Stocks Rebound as Tariff Worries Subside Equities have […]
Click Here to view today’s Global Momentum Guide The MSCI EAFE declined 0.18 percent last week, the S&P 500 Index 0.39 percent, the Nasdaq 0.63 percent, the Dow Jones […]
The past week was an interesting one for market participants as a mixture of scheduled news releases and unscheduled events created significant volatility. Most notably, Isreal launched attacks on Iran late Thursday night into Friday morning that resulted in the deaths of high-ranking officials.
News of the attacks sent oil prices spiking nearly 13 percent to reach highs of over $75 in intraday trading on Friday. Gold prices were also higher while the stock prices of travel, energy and other companies in relevant industries moved wildly in early morning trading.
Tariff news also dominated headlines this week as the United States and China agreed to a draft trade deal. The main takeaways were that China would face a 55 percent tariff on most goods while the nation would also approve applications from American companies for magnets. It’s expected that the overall deal will make it easier for the United States to make use of rare Earth metals that are sourced from China.
Perhaps the biggest scheduled news event of the week occurred on Wednesday when the CPI report was released. In May, inflation was at 2.4 percent on an annualized basis, which was slightly lower than the predicted 2.5 percent. On a monthly basis, inflation was up .1 percent, which was also slightly lower than the predicted rise of .2 percent.
Prices also rose slower than anticipated in the month of May. On Thursday, it was revealed that the Price Producers Index (PPI) for that month showed an increase of .1 percent compared to an expected rise of .2 percent. Price change data from April was revised to show that prices had dropped by .2 percent during that month.
Unemployment claims data also came out on Thursday, and over the last seven days, there were 248,000 requests for benefits. This figure matched the one from the previous week and was about 6,000 claims higher than expected before the report came out.
On Friday, the University of Michigan released its consumer sentiment and inflation expectation reports. Consumer confidence came in at 60.5 compared to a projected 53.5 while inflation expectations were down to 5.1 percent from 6.6 percent a month ago.
For the week, the S&P 500 was down .51 percent to close at 5,976. This represented a drop of almost 31 points for the index that has been in a trading range for the past couple of weeks. The high of the week came on Wednesday when the market hit 6,058 while the low of the week came on Friday when the index hit 5,970.
The Dow was also down for the week closing off 1.27 percent to finish at 42,197. For the week, the index shaved 540 points and is currently up just .003 percent for the month of June. As with the S&P 500, the Dow made its high of the week on Wednesday of 43,105 before reversing and closing near its weekly low of 42,110 made on Friday morning.
Finally, the Nasdaq was down .91 percent to finish the week at 19,406. The index lost about 184 points this week, but it is still up about 5 percent for the month. The weekly high was made on Wednesday at 19,786 while the weekly low was made on Friday afternoon when the index dipped to 19,380.
In international news, China announced on Sunday that its inflation rate was in the negative for the month of May. On Thursday evening, Great Britain announced that its gross domestic product (GDP) fell by .3 percent in May.
This week is shaping up to be another interesting one for market participants as tariff and geopolitical tensions will likely continue to dominate headlines. However, investors should also keep an eye on retail sale data coming out on Tuesday and the Federal Reserve making its June interest rate decision on Wednesday. The Fed is expected to announce that it will keep rates at 4.5 percent and continue to pause until at least September. Japan, Great Britain and Switzerland will also announce rate decisions this upcoming week.
Click Here to view today’s Global Momentum Guide The Russell 2000 Index increased 3.19 percent last week, the Nasdaq 2.18 percent, the S&P 500 Index 1.50 percent, the MSCI […]
The first full trading week was another consequential one for the market. A few of the top stories involved the ADP payroll report falling below expectations while the report issued by the Bureau of Labor Statistics was a mixed bag.
The other top story involved an online spat between Donald Trump and Elon Musk regarding Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill. Although the tit-for-tat seems to be more personal in nature, Musk did call for the Senate to kill the bill. Despite the public bickering, it seems as if markets are used to the turmoil as the three major indexes have largely recovered from their April lows.
On Monday, the first scheduled news release came out as the ISM Manufacturing PMI report was made available to the public. It came in at 48.5, which was slightly lower than last month and was about a full point below expectations.
On Tuesday, the JOLTS report was released and found that there were 7.39 million job openings in the country. This was higher than the expected 7.11 million openings and was also higher than last month’s reading of 7.2 million.
The ADP nonfarm payroll report came out Wednesday morning and found that there were 37,000 jobs added by employers in May. Analysts expected 111,000 new jobs, and the May figure was also lower than the 60,000 positions added in April. Also on Wednesday, the ISM Services PMI came in at 49.9, which was lower than the expected 52.
Unemployment claims data for the past seven days was made public on Thursday morning. For the past week, there were 247,000 claims compared to a projected 236,000.
Finally, on Friday, the BLS nonfarm payroll report said that the economy added 139,000 compared to a forecast of 126,000. However, this was still lower than last month’s figure, which was revised downward to 147,000. Average hourly earnings increased by .4 percent compared to an expected .3 percent while the unemployment rate remained steady at 4.2 percent as anticipated.
The S&P 500 closed above 6,000 this week for the first time since February. The index was up 99 points to close at 6,000.39 at the end of trading Friday. This represents a gain of 1.69 percent over the past five trading days, and over the past month, the index has appreciated 6.29 percent. The low of the week was established Monday morning when the market dipped to 5,864 while the high of 6,012 was made on Friday afternoon.
The Dow was also in the green this week finishing up 646 points to close at 42,762. The Dow followed the same pattern as the S&P 500 this week making its weekly low on Monday morning before reversing and making its high on Friday. The weekly range was 41,684 at the low end and 42,894 at the high end.
Finally, the Nasdaq was up 2.28 percent this week to close at 19,529. As with the other two major indexes, the Nasdaq made its low on Monday and closed near the high of the week. The low on Monday morning was 19,044 while the high of 19,593 was made on Thursday afternoon.
There were a few important releases coming from outside the United States. Tuesday night, Australia announced that gross domestic product growth was .2 percent in the first quarter compared to an expected .4 percent. On Wednesday, the Bank of Canada announced that it was keeping the country’s key interest rate steady at 2.75 percent. On Thursday, the European Union announced that the zone’s key interest rate would be cut from 2.4 percent to 2.15 percent.
The upcoming week will have inflation numbers made public on Wednesday and price data on Thursday. On Friday, the University of Michigan will release its consumer sentiment and inflation expectation reports.