This was another consequential week as markets continued to digest the Fed’s decision to hike rates last Wednesday. Markets are also bracing for the prospect of more interest rate hikes before the end of the year.
Oil has engaged in choppy trade over the last month or so. The start of September saw the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) jump to about $102 a barrel. However, by the start of this week, it had dropped to about $90 a barrel before rising again to around $98 by midweek.
Bond markets made strong moves to the upside this week as the rate for the 10, 20 and 30-year Treasury bond breaching 5 percent. The two, three and five-year bonds are all at 4.8 percent or higher. This is important because mortgage rates are highly correlated with the 10-year bond. Therefore, as bond rates go higher, mortgage rates will as well.
The interest rate for a 30-year mortgage rose to 7.5 percent as a result. This will likely have a detrimental impact for buyers and sellers alike as higher rates mean buyers have less to spend, which can keep prices lower.
On Wednesday, the Flash Services PMI and Flash Manufacturing PMI came out. The Flash Services PMI came in at 58.7 while the Flash Manufacturing PMI came in at 57. This means that both sectors are experiencing growth, which should be solid news for the economy in the short-term. However, it can also have negative implications for inflation and stricter monetary policy.
Thursday, unemployment claims for the last seven days were made public. During that period, 197,000 people asked for benefits, which was just 1,000 fewer than last week and about 4,000 less than analysts predicted before the report was released.
Finally, Friday saw the release of the consumer sentiment and inflation expectation reports from the University of Michigan. Consumer sentiment came in at 48.1 while inflation is expected to be at 4.6 percent 12 months from now.
The S&P 500 was up 52 points this week to close at 7,743. This was a 0.68 percent increase since the beginning of trading Monday. The market is now up 1.15 percent over the past month. For the week, the index made a high of 7,777 on Tuesday and a low of 7,666 on Thursday.
The Dow was down 0.05 percent this week to close at 51,828. This was a loss of 24 points for a market that has struggled recently to sustain its momentum from earlier this year. It is down 3.05 percent over the last month but is still up 12.8 percent over the last 12 months. This week, the index made a high of 52,162 on Tuesday and a low of 51,127 on Thursday.
Finally, the Nasdaq was up 1.15 percent to finish the week at 27,068. This was an increase of 308 points for an index that has significantly outperformed the other two major indexes. For the week, the index made a high of 27,282 on Tuesday and a low of 26,707 on Thursday.
In international news, Australia announced on Wednesday that its economy gained 39,500 jobs over the last month. On Thursday morning, Switzerland announced that it would keep the nation’s key interest rate at 0 percent. Also on Thursday, Canada announced that retail sales dropped 0.7 percent in August.
The upcoming week should be another interesting one as several key news events are on the schedule. On Tuesday, the CB Consumer Confidence and JOLTS reports come out while the Core PCE Price Index and final GDP numbers for the second quarter come out Wednesday. The ADP and BLS nonfarm payroll reports for September come out Wednesday and Friday.



