Click Here to view today’s Global Momentum Guide The Russell 2000 Index gained 2.00 percent last week and the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.41 percent. The S&P 500 […]
Market Perspective for October 25, 2026
On Thursday, unemployment claims for the last seven days were made public. During that time period, there were 194,000 requests for unemployment benefits. This was compared to an expected 200,000 such requests prior to the release.
On Friday, the University of Michigan released its inflation expectation and consumer sentiment reports. Inflation was expected to rise to 4.7 percent 12 months from now, which was in line with projections. Consumer sentiment came in at 48 compared to an expected 46.3 prior to the release.
Also on Friday, the Flash Manufacturing PMI and Flash Services PMI were released. Manufacturing came in at 56, indicating the sector is undergoing a relatively strong period of expansion. Services came in at 57.9, which means that the economy is strong and broadly diversified. This is often seen as a good sign for future growth prospects.
Oil prices went up sharply over the last five trading days. By Friday, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) had hit a high of $107 a barrel, which was just more than $8 higher than the weekly low of $98 set on Tuesday. Part of the increase had to do the latest developments in Iran. However, lower inventories in the United States may also be playing a role in higher prices.
Gold and silver prices both dropped significantly this week. Gold dropped below $4,000 an ounce on Friday for the first time since July. Silver dropped below $55 an ounce for the first time since July as investors digest the economic and geopolitical uncertainty.
The S&P 500 was down about 0.9 percent this week to close at 7,623. This was a loss of about 70 points for the index that seemed to have gained momentum again just a couple of weeks ago. The S&P 500 is down 1.1 percent over the last four weeks. Over the last five trading days, the market made a high of 7,768 on Wednesday and a low of 7,621 on Friday.
The Dow was up 0.61 percent this week to close at 52,215. This was a gain of 317 points for the index that tracks that 30 largest companies in the nation. Over the last four weeks, the index has appreciated about 0.73 percent. This week, it made a low of 51,51,915 at the open on Monday and a high of 52,884 on Thursday.
Finally, the Nasdaq was down 1.7 percent this week to close Friday’s trading at 25,955. The index is down 3.5 percent over the last four weeks. This week, it made a high of 26,760 on Wednesday before reversing and closing near its weekly low on Friday.
In international news, Canada announced Monday that inflation increased 0.1 percent in September and up 1.9 percent on an annualized basis. Great Britain announced Wednesday morning that inflation was up 3.5 percent on an annualized basis in September. Friday, the nation announced that retail sales dropped 0.4 percent in September.
Next week is sure to be another interesting one as the Fed will make its rate decision on Wednesday. It’s unclear whether the Fed will pause before the midterm or hike by 25 basis points to keep inflation in check. Canada, New Zealand and the Eurozone will also be making rate decisions next week along with Japan. The Core PCE Price Index and advance GDP figures from the third quarter are set to be released on Thursday.

The ETF Investor Guide for October 2026
The October Issue of the ETF Investor Guide is AVAILABLE NOW! Links to the October Data Files have been posted below. Market Perspective: Stocks Near All-Time Highs as AI Faces […]
The Global Momentum Guide for October 19, 2026
Click Here to view today’s Global Momentum Guide The MSCI EAFE increased 1.41 percent last week and the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.67 percent. The S&P 500 Index […]
Market Perspective for October 18, 2026
CPI data came in hotter than expected with inflation reaching 3.7 percent on an annualized basis compared to an expected 3.6 percent. Core CPI was also hotter than expected coming in at 2.6 percent on an annualized basis compared to an expected 2.5 percent. This has led to speculation that the Fed may decide to hike rates again by the end of the year.
Fed Chair Warsh refused to say whether the Fed would hike in October or December. He said that while inflation was an issue throughout the world, he didn’t want to telegraph what the Fed would do. He also said that it was important to take each meeting on its own merits, which is another reason why he doesn’t like to provide forward guidance.
The Price Producers Index (PPI) came in at 1.3 percent compared to an expected 0.8 percent in September. Core PPI came in at 0.7 percent compared to an expected 0.3 percent prior to the release. Retail sales were up 0.8 percent, which was much higher than the anticipated 0.3 percent prior to the release. Core retail sales were up 0.9 percent in September.
Unemployment claims remained steady for another week coming in at 199,000 over the last seven days. This was in line with expectations and just 1,000 more than last week’s figure.
The S&P 500 was down 2 percent this week to close at 7,659 at the end of trading on Friday. The index lost 157 points during the last five trading days and is now up 0.72 percent over the last month. This week, the market made a high of 7,814 Monday morning before falling steadily on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday. The index closed near its weekly low on Friday.
The Dow was up 0.25 percent this week to close at 52,002 at the end of the day on Friday. This was a gain of 131 points since the beginning of the week. The market is now down 0.87 percent over the past month. This week, the index made a low of 51,347 on Wednesday and a high of 52,537 on Friday morning.
Finally, the Nasdaq was down 4.33 percent to close at 26,140 at the end of trading Friday. This was a loss of 1,183 points for an index that has generally outperformed its peers in 2026. The market is essentially flat over the last month.
Australia announced Wednesday night that its economy lost over 39,000 jobs in September and that the country’s unemployment rate ticked up to 4.7 percent. On Thursday, Great Britain announced that its gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 0.1 percent in September.
This coming week should be another interesting one as a number of important news events are on the calendar. Unemployment claims data comes out on Thursday while the University of Michigan comes out with consumer sentiment and inflation expectation data on Friday. Canada will announce its inflation data for September on Monday while Great Britain will do the same on Wednesday.