Market Perspective for November 21, 2014

Stocks enjoyed an uneventful week before pushing to new highs after China’s central bank cut interest rates on Friday. All the major indexes gained ground, with only the Russell 2000 Index failing to make a new high.

In the People’s Bank of China statement, they stated the decision to cut interest rates was not out of a desire to reverse the current policy of tight money. Some economists do view the move as driven by economic fundamentals in China, but the more likely catalyst for the move was Japan’s surprise expansion of quantitative easing in late October, which China immediately termed a threat. In the wake of China’s decision to cut interest rates, European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghi also said the ECB was ready to do more. The result was a sharp drop in the euro that has pushed the U.S. Dollar Index to its highs. Markets were broadly higher though, as many investors did view the move as bullish for Chinese demand for natural resources, lifting the prices of many commodities, including oil.

In other central bank news, the Federal Reserve released the minutes of its last meeting, the one at which the decision was made to end quantitative easing. Although there wasn’t a lot of new information in the minutes, we did learn that Fed officials debated language related to when rate hikes will begin. Some officials argued for removing the statement that rates would remain low for a “considerable amount of time,” but they were rebuffed by those who feared the market might interpret that change as a signal that rate hikes would come much sooner. This debate shows the Fed leaning in a hawkish direction, with the debate centered on timing.

Retail stocks continued to outperform the broader market this week, although the jump in oil prices on Friday caused SPDR Retail (XRT) to lag behind SPDR S&P 500 (SPY). The sector was also hurt by Gap’s (GPS) earnings report, which included a reduction in its profit forecast for the year. The sector was however boosted by strong earnings reports from Best Buy (BBY), Home Depot (HD) and Lowe’s (LOW). With the beginning of the holiday shopping season, the retail sector should continue improving.

Stocks have been in a slow and steady uptrend since Japan’s decision to expand quantitative easing. With China potentially joining the currency devaluation game, another wave of liquidity could boost markets over the weeks ahead. The markets typically rally into the end of the year, but with major central banks in Japan, China and Europe looking to increase liquidity and/or weaken their currencies, stocks should have the wind at their back for the last six weeks of 2014.

ETF Investor Guide for November, 2014

November 2014  Market Perspective: Stocks Rally to New Highs After October Sell-Off The past month was one of the best periods for stocks in several years. From October 15 through November 15, the S&P […]

EMHD And EMDG: Promising Funds That Have Attached Little Attention, So Far

EMHD And EMDG: Promising Funds That Have Attached Little Attention, So Far

A Seeking Alpha Contribution

Summary

  • EGShares has two unique emerging market dividend ETFs, EMDG and EMHD, but both have very low volume.
  • EMDG takes a dividend growth approach, but the history is too short to determine whether the fund is delivering on growth.
  • EMHD is delivering a high yield of about 6% and it has been outperforming other emerging market dividend ETFs this year.

Emerging Global Advisors offers a trio of high yield emerging market dividend ETFs. Two of the funds offer some promise, but they have attracted very little investor interest and have extremely low trading volume.

One of these is the EGShares Emerging Markets Dividend Growth ETF (NYSEARCA:EMDG).

Index & Strategy

EMDG tracks the FTSE Emerging All Cap ex-Taiwan Diversified Capped Dividend Growth 50 Index. The 50 holdings in the fund are capped at 2.5 percent each quarter. Holdings are selected annually in March. The index criteria are summed up well by the index provider:

*Please note, this article was written and published as a contribution for Seeking Alpha. To finish reading the article you will be redirected to their site.

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