A significant number of news items helped to create volatility across multiple sectors last week. On Tuesday, inflation data was released while Wednesday and Thursday saw the release of price change and retail sale information during the month of June.
In June, inflation cooled by 0.4 percent compared to an expected drop of 0.1 percent. On a yearly basis, overall CPI is at 3.5 percent, which was lower than the expected 3.8 percent and lower than last month’s reading of 4.2 percent. Core CPI was flat for the month and 2.6 percent on an annualized basis. This has led to speculation that there will be no need for a rate hike in July or September as had been previously speculated.
The Price Producers Index (PPI) for June was also lower than expected as overall PPI was down by 0.3 percent compared to May. Core PPI was 0.2 percent, which was slightly lower than the projected 0.3 percent. The reduction was mostly attributed to a drop in oil and gasoline prices.
Retail sale data released on Thursday found that overall retail sales were up 0.2 percent, which was in line with expectations. Core retail sales were down 0.2 percent from June. However, overall and core retail sales for May were revised upward to reflect an increase of 1 percent from April.
Unemployment claims data also came out on Thursday and revealed that 208,000 people requested benefits over the past seven days. This was down from 216,000 during the previous seven days.
On Friday, the University of Michigan released its preliminary consumer sentiment and inflation expectation reports for July. Consumer sentiment rose to 54.4 while inflation was expected to be at 4.2 percent in 12 months.
On Tuesday and Wednesday, Fed Chair Warsh testified before members of Congress. His overall message was that a single positive inflation report can’t be seen as evidence the Fed’s fight against rising prices is over. Warsh was noncommittal about rate hikes saying that he would do his job even if the president would prefer rates be lowered. He also said that task forces created to provide guidance regarding monetary policy were still in the fact-finding stages.
The S&P 500 was down 1.23 percent this week to close at 7,457. This was a loss of 92 points on the week for an index that has been relatively choppy throughout 2026. Over the last month, the index is down just over 1 percent. Over the past week, it made a high of 7,573 on Wednesday before reversing and hitting a low of 7,433 on Friday.
The Dow was down 497 points this week to close at 52,146. This was a loss of 0.94 percent over the last five trading days. Despite the loss this week, the index is still up about 0.8 percent over the previous 30 days. This week, the index opened Monday at its highest point starting the day at 52,819. The index made a low of 52,020 on Friday morning.
Finally, the Nasdaq finished the week about 2 percent lower closing at 25,520 at the end of the day Friday. The index has lost 3.51 percent over the past month as the AI trade continues to go through boom-and-bust cycles. This week, the index made a high of 26,278 on Wednesday and made a low of 25,269 on Friday.
In international news, Canada announced on Wednesday that it would maintain its key interest rate at 2.25 percent. On Thursday, Great Britain announced that GDP growth of 0.1 percent over the past month.